Scouting Report
Daniel Brière holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ellis on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 48.5% vs Ellis 46.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 64.9%
Defensive zone
Ellis 78.0%
Neutral zone
Ellis 62.5%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Brière
Ellis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brière
Ellis
Last 6: Brière 2-4 Ellis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
0
2
Brière
Ellis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
1
2
Brière
Ellis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
1
0
Brière
Ellis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,812)
47.3% (607)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.0% (309)
28.6% (7)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
42.1% (95)
+10.8%
On power play, Brière has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Brière is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,504).
Brière shoots right. Ellis is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Brière
Ellis
Home
50.7% (1,092)
48.5% (303)
Away
46.2% (1,068)
44.8% (406)
By Period
Brière
Ellis
P1
50.5%
50.0%
P2
45.9%
46.2%
P3
48.6%
41.3%
OT
54.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2011 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |