Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Winnik wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 45.6% vs Staal 52.5% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Winnik 64.5%
Defensive zone
Winnik 82.5%
Neutral zone
Winnik 68.4%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Winnik
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Winnik
Staal
Last 10: Winnik 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Winnik
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Winnik
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winnik
3
2
Winnik
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (162)
52.0% (1,126)
-6.9%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
56.5% (239)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (29)
50.8% (65)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Winnik is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Winnik shoots left. Staal is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Winnik
Staal
Home
55.9% (93)
56.7% (727)
Away
32.0% (103)
48.6% (703)
By Period
Winnik
Staal
P1
45.6%
50.9%
P2
42.2%
54.7%
P3
42.6%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
40.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.4%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |