Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Winnik wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Staal 50.6% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 52.9%
Defensive zone
Winnik 66.9%
Neutral zone
Winnik 53.7%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Winnik
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Winnik
Staal
Last 10: Winnik 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Winnik
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Winnik
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Winnik
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
50.5% (10,347)
-4.6%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
53.5% (2,023)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
44.2% (781)
-7.1%
On power play, Winnik has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Winnik is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Winnik shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Winnik
Staal
Home
48.5% (406)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
39.2% (446)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Winnik
Staal
P1
48.8%
50.0%
P2
40.6%
51.1%
P3
42.8%
50.4%
OT
33.3%
55.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |