Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Winnik wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winnik 61.5%
Defensive zone
Winnik 63.7%
Neutral zone
Winnik 62.2%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Winnik
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Winnik
Bjugstad
Last 9: Winnik 3-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Winnik
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
2
1
Winnik
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
4
Winnik
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
48.6% (6,634)
-2.7%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
55.2% (829)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
44.3% (614)
-7.2%
On power play, Winnik has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Winnik is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Winnik shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Winnik
Bjugstad
Home
48.5% (406)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
39.2% (446)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Winnik
Bjugstad
P1
48.8%
49.0%
P2
40.6%
49.1%
P3
42.8%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |