Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Yurov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Yurov wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.6% vs Malkin 46.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.5%
Defensive zone
Malkin 53.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 67.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Yurov
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Yurov
Malkin
Last 6: Yurov 4-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
1
0
Yurov
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Yurov
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Yurov
2
1
Yurov
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (621)
45.7% (219)
-6.1%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
34.6% (26)
-6.8%
On power play, Malkin has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Yurov is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Yurov shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Yurov
Malkin
Home
43.1% (332)
50.4% (113)
Away
34.9% (315)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Yurov
Malkin
P1
37.5%
47.7%
P2
38.1%
44.9%
P3
41.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |