Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Yurov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Yurov wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.6% vs Malkin 45.9% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 60.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 70.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Yurov
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Yurov
Malkin
Last 6: Yurov 4-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
1
0
Yurov
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Yurov
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Yurov
2
1
Yurov
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (621)
45.6% (10,081)
-6.0%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
50.1% (668)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
32.2% (59)
-7.2%
On power play, Malkin has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Yurov is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Yurov shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Yurov
Malkin
Home
43.1% (332)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
34.9% (315)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Yurov
Malkin
P1
37.5%
45.9%
P2
38.1%
46.2%
P3
41.9%
45.2%
Final 5 min
40.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |