Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Yurov wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.6% vs Scheifele 46.8% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.1%
Defensive zone
Yurov 64.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.4%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Yurov
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Yurov
Scheifele
Last 6: Yurov 3-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
2
0
Yurov
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
3
Yurov
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (621)
46.3% (12,036)
-6.7%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
50.2% (2,563)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
41.6% (598)
-16.6%
On power play, Scheifele has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Yurov is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Yurov shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Home / Away
Yurov
Scheifele
Home
43.1% (332)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
34.9% (315)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Yurov
Scheifele
P1
37.5%
48.2%
P2
38.1%
45.6%
P3
41.9%
46.8%
Final 5 min
40.6%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |