Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Yurov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Yurov wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.6% vs McCarron 52.5% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 68.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 88.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 75.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Yurov
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Yurov
McCarron
Last 5: Yurov 3-2 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
2
1
Yurov
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
1
0
Yurov
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Yurov
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (621)
53.1% (672)
-13.5%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
18.2% (11)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
53.7% (205)
-28.7%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Yurov is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Yurov shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Yurov
McCarron
Home
43.1% (332)
52.8% (477)
Away
34.9% (315)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Yurov
McCarron
P1
37.5%
56.5%
P2
38.1%
53.2%
P3
41.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |