Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Yurov wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.6% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 79.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 86.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 88.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 86.9%
13.1%
86.9%
Yurov
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Yurov
Zibanejad
Last 7: Yurov 5-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
1
0
Yurov
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
2
0
Yurov
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Yurov
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (621)
50.9% (11,719)
-11.3%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
52.2% (1,849)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
41.5% (1,790)
-16.5%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Yurov is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Yurov shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
Yurov
Zibanejad
Home
43.1% (332)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
34.9% (315)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Yurov
Zibanejad
P1
37.5%
50.4%
P2
38.1%
49.7%
P3
41.9%
49.8%
Final 5 min
40.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |