Danila Yurov vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Yurov wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.6% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Yurov 80.9%
Defensive zone
Yurov 77.7%
Neutral zone
Yurov 77.7%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Yurov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Yurov
MacKinnon
Last 10: Yurov 2-8 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
4
Yurov
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
4
Yurov
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (621)
46.1% (11,218)
-6.5%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
53.3% (1,412)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
42.8% (502)
-17.8%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Yurov is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Yurov shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Yurov
MacKinnon
Home
43.1% (332)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
34.9% (315)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Yurov
MacKinnon
P1
37.5%
47.4%
P2
38.1%
46.6%
P3
41.9%
46.1%
Final 5 min
40.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |