Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Yurov wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.6% vs Roy 51.9% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 89.0%
Defensive zone
Yurov 79.2%
Neutral zone
Yurov 81.0%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Yurov
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Yurov
Roy
Last 5: Yurov 0-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Yurov
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Yurov
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (621)
51.9% (547)
-12.3%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
54.1% (37)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
53.3% (92)
-28.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Yurov is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Yurov shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Yurov
Roy
Home
43.1% (332)
54.0% (328)
Away
34.9% (315)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Yurov
Roy
P1
37.5%
53.5%
P2
38.1%
51.6%
P3
41.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
40.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |