Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Yurov wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.6% vs Roy 48.4% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 88.6%
Defensive zone
Yurov 79.8%
Neutral zone
Yurov 77.6%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Yurov
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Yurov
Roy
Last 5: Yurov 0-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Yurov
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Yurov
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (621)
48.7% (3,719)
-9.1%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
49.5% (283)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
45.5% (477)
-20.5%
On power play, Roy has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Yurov is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Yurov shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Yurov
Roy
Home
43.1% (332)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
34.9% (315)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Yurov
Roy
P1
37.5%
50.8%
P2
38.1%
46.3%
P3
41.9%
48.1%
Final 5 min
40.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |