Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Yurov wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.6% vs Thompson 42.8% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 58.1%
Defensive zone
Yurov 56.7%
Neutral zone
Yurov 54.0%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Yurov
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Yurov
Thompson
Last 9: Yurov 3-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Yurov
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Yurov
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Yurov
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (621)
42.9% (3,521)
-3.3%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
46.8% (372)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
33.6% (265)
-8.6%
On power play, Thompson has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Yurov is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Yurov shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Yurov
Thompson
Home
43.1% (332)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
34.9% (315)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Yurov
Thompson
P1
37.5%
44.5%
P2
38.1%
43.6%
P3
41.9%
40.2%
Final 5 min
40.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 16:54 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |