Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Yurov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Yurov wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.7% vs Gourde 48.2% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 68.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 90.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 88.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Yurov
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Yurov
Gourde
Last 5: Yurov 4-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
3
0
Yurov
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Yurov
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (628)
48.4% (4,987)
-8.6%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
57.4% (376)
-29.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
40.0% (555)
-15.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Yurov is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Yurov shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Yurov
Gourde
Home
43.1% (332)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
35.4% (322)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Yurov
Gourde
P1
37.3%
49.8%
P2
38.9%
47.5%
P3
41.9%
47.5%
Final 5 min
40.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.3%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |