Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Regan 47.7% vs Hayes 43.8% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 62.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 72.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 63.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
O'Regan
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
O'Regan
Hayes
Last 6: O'Regan 2-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
O'Regan
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Regan
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Regan
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Regan
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
42.7% (478)
-3.4%
On even strength, Hayes has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. O'Regan is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (18).
O'Regan shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
O'Regan
Hayes
Home
36.4% (22)
43.5% (232)
Away
50.0% (6)
42.4% (375)
By Period
O'Regan
Hayes
P1
18.2%
40.1%
P2
50.0%
44.8%
P3
54.5%
42.4%
Final 5 min
20.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Regan
44.0%▼
47.0%
39.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |