Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Regan 48.0% vs Eller 50.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Regan 73.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 56.7%
Neutral zone
O'Regan 55.6%
Result
Danny O'Regan favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
O'Regan
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
O'Regan
Eller
Last 6: O'Regan 2-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Regan
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
O'Regan
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
O'Regan
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Regan
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (167)
51.1% (10,296)
-5.6%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
52.8% (621)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.7% (1,751)
-13.4%
On power play, O'Regan has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. O'Regan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (114).
O'Regan shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
O'Regan
Eller
Home
52.7% (112)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
37.7% (69)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
O'Regan
Eller
P1
42.2%
51.2%
P2
50.9%
50.1%
P3
48.3%
50.2%
Final 5 min
41.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Regan
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |