Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Heinen wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Heinen 40.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Heinen 81.1%
Defensive zone
Heinen 68.7%
Neutral zone
Heinen 71.7%
Result
Danton Heinen favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Heinen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Heinen
Gourde
Last 5: Heinen 1-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Heinen
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Heinen
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Heinen
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Heinen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (132)
48.4% (4,954)
-10.5%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
57.4% (376)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (16)
39.9% (554)
-27.4%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Heinen is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Heinen shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Heinen
Gourde
Home
36.7% (90)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
33.3% (72)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Heinen
Gourde
P1
34.8%
49.9%
P2
26.8%
47.4%
P3
50.0%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
26.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Heinen
34.0%▬
35.2%
35.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:48 | Neutral | Danton Heinen |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |