Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Heinen wins 37.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Heinen 46.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Heinen 83.1%
Defensive zone
Heinen 51.7%
Neutral zone
Heinen 64.7%
Result
Danton Heinen favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Heinen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Heinen
Gourde
Last 5: Heinen 1-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Heinen
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Heinen
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Heinen
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Heinen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (33)
51.2% (469)
-11.8%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
42.9% (21)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
37.5% (48)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Heinen is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Heinen shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Heinen
Gourde
Home
54.5% (22)
47.8% (301)
Away
25.0% (24)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Heinen
Gourde
P1
45.8%
47.3%
P2
16.7%
53.4%
P3
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Heinen
34.0%▬
35.2%
39.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:48 | Neutral | Danton Heinen |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |