Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. McDonald wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 57.2% vs Helm 52.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 64.5%
Defensive zone
Helm 86.1%
Neutral zone
Helm 57.4%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
McDonald
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McDonald
Helm
Last 5: McDonald 2-3 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDonald
Helm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
0
1
McDonald
Helm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDonald
Helm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (246)
52.9% (678)
+6.0%
Power Play
62.7% (75)
53.8% (13)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
50.6% (235)
-2.8%
On power play, McDonald has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. McDonald is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (242).
McDonald shoots left. Helm is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
McDonald
Helm
Home
63.5% (148)
56.5% (444)
Away
56.2% (201)
49.0% (494)
By Period
McDonald
Helm
P1
64.2%
54.6%
P2
53.8%
51.8%
P3
59.8%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
59.3%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |