Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.7%). Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Backes 50.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 57.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 54.8%
Neutral zone
Backes 57.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Helm
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
10
(26 meetings)
16
10
Helm
Backes
Last 10: Helm 6-4 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
5
Helm
Backes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
11
2
Helm
Backes
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Helm
Backes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
51.1% (5,772)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
50.8% (1,082)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
47.4% (930)
+0.6%
On power play, Helm has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Helm is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,242).
Helm shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Helm
Backes
Home
51.8% (1,800)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Helm
Backes
P1
49.5%
50.1%
P2
52.8%
51.5%
P3
49.7%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Darren Helm |