Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 51.7% vs MacKenzie 53.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 68.3%
Defensive zone
Helm 69.9%
Neutral zone
Helm 67.1%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Helm
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Helm
MacKenzie
Last 8: Helm 1-7 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
3
Helm
MacKenzie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Helm
MacKenzie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Helm
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (607)
55.1% (370)
-3.7%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
55.6% (9)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (136)
49.0% (49)
+6.1%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Helm is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Helm shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Helm
MacKenzie
Home
52.8% (371)
56.1% (228)
Away
51.0% (406)
52.7% (201)
By Period
Helm
MacKenzie
P1
50.4%
53.4%
P2
54.7%
55.1%
P3
50.6%
53.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.9%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 21, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |