Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 76.8%
Defensive zone
Helm 68.2%
Neutral zone
Helm 68.5%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Helm
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
18
(25 meetings)
7
18
Helm
MacKenzie
Last 10: Helm 4-6 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
7
Helm
MacKenzie
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
7
Helm
MacKenzie
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
4
Helm
MacKenzie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
54.9% (3,660)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
55.9% (102)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
46.7% (1,158)
+1.3%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
Home / Away
Helm
MacKenzie
Home
51.8% (1,800)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Helm
MacKenzie
P1
49.5%
51.9%
P2
52.8%
53.0%
P3
49.7%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
65.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 21, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |