Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.1%). Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.4% vs MacKenzie 52.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 64.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 62.2%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 51.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Helm
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Helm
MacKenzie
Last 8: Helm 4-4 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
MacKenzie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
3
2
Helm
MacKenzie
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
1
Helm
MacKenzie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (330)
55.1% (737)
+0.1%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
36.8% (19)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (73)
48.9% (266)
-7.8%
On power play, Helm has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Helm is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Helm shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Helm
MacKenzie
Home
53.3% (214)
54.9% (506)
Away
52.7% (207)
51.4% (516)
By Period
Helm
MacKenzie
P1
52.5%
54.5%
P2
57.6%
55.6%
P3
47.7%
48.2%
OT
75.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
53.0%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2014 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Darren Helm |