Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 46.6% vs Staal 46.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 58.2%
Defensive zone
Helm 50.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 59.8%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Helm
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Helm
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Helm
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
49.6% (565)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
35.4% (158)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Helm is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Helm shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Helm
Staal
Home
35.1% (37)
46.1% (380)
Away
48.6% (37)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Helm
Staal
P1
17.6%
45.7%
P2
40.0%
46.2%
P3
59.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Darren Helm |