Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Nielsen 48.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 55.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 53.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 54.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Helm
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Helm
Nielsen
Last 10: Helm 3-7 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
5
Helm
Nielsen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
3
Helm
Nielsen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
7
Helm
Nielsen
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
49.3% (7,608)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
54.7% (594)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
41.7% (1,420)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
Helm
Nielsen
Home
51.8% (1,800)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Helm
Nielsen
P1
49.5%
49.7%
P2
52.8%
47.6%
P3
49.7%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
46.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 16, 2013 | OT | 04:07 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 16, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 17:50 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |