Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.0%). Look for Helm on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 51.7%
Defensive zone
Helm 50.4%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 50.5%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Helm
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Helm
Mitchell
Last 10: Helm 4-6 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
4
1
Helm
Mitchell
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
3
Helm
Mitchell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
2
Helm
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
51.8% (2,965)
-0.7%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
54.1% (196)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
44.1% (401)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Home / Away
Helm
Mitchell
Home
51.8% (1,800)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Helm
Mitchell
P1
49.5%
52.0%
P2
52.8%
49.9%
P3
49.7%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
69.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Darren Helm |