Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 76.6%
Defensive zone
Helm 76.4%
Neutral zone
Helm 83.1%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Helm
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Helm
Staal
Last 10: Helm 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Helm
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
6
Helm
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
6
Helm
Staal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
55.9% (14,620)
-4.8%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
62.7% (1,745)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
48.0% (2,896)
+0.0%
On power play, Staal has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Helm
Staal
Home
51.8% (1,800)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Helm
Staal
P1
49.5%
55.2%
P2
52.8%
55.9%
P3
49.7%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 17:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Mar 21, 2011 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |