Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.1%). Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 51.7% vs Backstrom 50.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 66.6%
Defensive zone
Helm 67.4%
Neutral zone
Helm 50.6%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Helm
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Helm
Backstrom
Last 10: Helm 7-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
1
Helm
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
3
1
Helm
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
2
1
Helm
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (607)
49.0% (496)
+2.4%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
55.6% (151)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (136)
57.9% (38)
-2.8%
On power play, Backstrom has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Helm is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Helm shoots left. Backstrom is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Helm
Backstrom
Home
52.8% (371)
53.5% (368)
Away
51.0% (406)
48.3% (323)
By Period
Helm
Backstrom
P1
50.4%
49.1%
P2
54.7%
51.0%
P3
50.6%
53.5%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Darren Helm |