Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 46.6% vs Backstrom 50.3% (-8.5%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 57.3%
Defensive zone
Helm 70.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 62.6%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Helm
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
51.4% (473)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
33.3% (3)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Helm is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Helm shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Helm
Backstrom
Home
35.1% (37)
53.6% (278)
Away
48.6% (37)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Helm
Backstrom
P1
17.6%
51.5%
P2
40.0%
56.0%
P3
59.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%