Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 49.2% vs Backstrom 50.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 50.0%
Defensive zone
Helm 71.2%
Neutral zone
Helm 62.9%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Helm
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Helm
Backstrom
Last 10: Helm 3-7 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
4
Helm
Backstrom
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Helm
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Helm
Backstrom
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (438)
49.0% (1,137)
-0.6%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
59.8% (194)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (80)
48.8% (84)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Helm is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Helm shoots left. Backstrom is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Helm
Backstrom
Home
47.1% (276)
52.9% (735)
Away
51.1% (272)
47.8% (680)
By Period
Helm
Backstrom
P1
47.9%
51.1%
P2
52.7%
47.2%
P3
46.2%
52.9%
OT
53.8%
53.2%
Final 5 min
41.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2014 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 31, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 15, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |