Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 92.5%
Defensive zone
Helm 86.4%
Neutral zone
Helm 87.2%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Helm
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Helm
Gaustad
Last 10: Helm 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Helm
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
6
Helm
Gaustad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
7
Helm
Gaustad
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.1%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
65.4% (188)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
54.8% (1,290)
-6.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Helm
Gaustad
Home
51.8% (1,800)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Helm
Gaustad
P1
49.5%
58.2%
P2
52.8%
56.4%
P3
49.7%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |