Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 25-24 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 56.0%
Defensive zone
Helm 70.8%
Neutral zone
Helm 57.5%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Helm
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
25
(49 meetings)
24
25
Helm
Stastny
Last 10: Helm 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
17
Helm
Stastny
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
15
3
Helm
Stastny
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
6
5
Helm
Stastny
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.5%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
59.1% (1,994)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Helm
Stastny
Home
51.8% (1,800)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Helm
Stastny
P1
49.5%
56.3%
P2
52.8%
55.4%
P3
49.7%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Darren Helm |