Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 45.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 81.4%
Defensive zone
Helm 75.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 57.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Helm
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Helm
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Helm
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
0
Helm
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (135)
59.2% (370)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (98)
51.7% (58)
-10.9%
On even strength, Stastny has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Helm is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Helm shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Helm
Stastny
Home
45.7% (105)
57.7% (215)
Away
43.0% (128)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Helm
Stastny
P1
42.1%
57.7%
P2
41.0%
54.2%
P3
50.6%
57.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
44.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |