Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.4% vs Stastny 57.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 76.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 70.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 77.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Helm
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Helm
Stastny
Last 8: Helm 5-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Helm
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
3
1
Helm
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
2
1
Helm
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (330)
57.6% (959)
-2.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
60.8% (125)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (73)
58.1% (74)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Helm is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Helm shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Helm
Stastny
Home
53.3% (214)
55.9% (590)
Away
52.7% (207)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Helm
Stastny
P1
52.5%
59.6%
P2
57.6%
59.0%
P3
47.7%
55.3%
OT
75.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
53.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |