Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 81.9%
Defensive zone
Helm 81.6%
Neutral zone
Helm 86.4%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Helm
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Helm
Kesler
Last 10: Helm 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
8
Helm
Kesler
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
5
Helm
Kesler
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Helm
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.3%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
60.7% (1,437)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
50.5% (1,908)
-2.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Helm is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,242).
Helm shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Helm
Kesler
Home
51.8% (1,800)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Helm
Kesler
P1
49.5%
56.5%
P2
52.8%
55.9%
P3
49.7%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2012 | OT | 03:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2011 | OT | 04:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |