Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Koivu 51.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 52.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 70.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 63.4%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Helm
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Helm
Koivu
Last 10: Helm 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Helm
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
1
Helm
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
3
0
Helm
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
51.9% (3,221)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
59.3% (437)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
48.0% (764)
+0.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Helm
Koivu
Home
51.8% (1,800)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Helm
Koivu
P1
49.5%
51.1%
P2
52.8%
52.6%
P3
49.7%
51.8%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Darren Helm |