Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Helm wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.3% vs Gagner 44.4% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 57.6%
Defensive zone
Helm 91.9%
Neutral zone
Helm 84.5%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Helm
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Helm
Gagner
Last 10: Helm 8-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Helm
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
7
0
Helm
Gagner
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (678)
43.1% (758)
+9.8%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
50.3% (147)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (235)
34.6% (26)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Helm is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Helm shoots left. Gagner is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Helm
Gagner
Home
56.5% (444)
47.4% (468)
Away
49.0% (494)
40.3% (467)
By Period
Helm
Gagner
P1
54.6%
43.8%
P2
51.8%
43.8%
P3
51.4%
44.0%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
52.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |