Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 45.9% vs Gagner 47.5% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 55.6%
Defensive zone
Helm 54.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.6%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Helm
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (135)
51.3% (158)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (98)
33.6% (110)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Helm is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Helm shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Helm
Gagner
Home
45.7% (105)
53.2% (154)
Away
43.0% (128)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Helm
Gagner
P1
42.1%
35.6%
P2
41.0%
52.7%
P3
50.6%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
44.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%