Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Pahlsson leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 80.2%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 64.3%
Neutral zone
Helm 54.2%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Helm
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
19
(35 meetings)
16
19
Helm
Pahlsson
Last 10: Helm 3-7 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
6
2
Helm
Pahlsson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
3
7
Helm
Pahlsson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
7
10
Helm
Pahlsson
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
53.0% (1,716)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
60.0% (35)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
49.8% (548)
-1.8%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,644).
Home / Away
Helm
Pahlsson
Home
51.8% (1,800)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
Helm
Pahlsson
P1
49.5%
54.6%
P2
52.8%
50.7%
P3
49.7%
51.8%
OT
50.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
50.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | OT | 03:11 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 08:43 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |