Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 46.6% vs Johnson 50.7% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 72.9%
Defensive zone
Helm 81.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 56.1%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Helm
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
47.4% (78)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
100.0% (2)
-46.2%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Helm is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Helm shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Helm
Johnson
Home
35.1% (37)
50.9% (57)
Away
48.6% (37)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Helm
Johnson
P1
17.6%
44.1%
P2
40.0%
59.4%
P3
59.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%