Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Helm wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.3% vs Smith 51.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 67.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 70.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.0%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Helm
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Helm
Smith
Last 9: Helm 4-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Helm
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
3
1
Helm
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (49)
53.6% (550)
+1.5%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
53.5% (71)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
43.5% (108)
+11.0%
On power play, Smith has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Helm is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Helm shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Helm
Smith
Home
45.5% (44)
56.5% (352)
Away
57.6% (33)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Helm
Smith
P1
27.3%
52.0%
P2
69.0%
51.5%
P3
48.0%
52.2%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
64.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Zack Smith |