Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.6%). Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Smith 50.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 52.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 50.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.1%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Helm
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
18
(33 meetings)
15
18
Helm
Smith
Last 10: Helm 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
11
Helm
Smith
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
4
Helm
Smith
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
10
3
Helm
Smith
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
51.6% (5,265)
-0.5%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
51.2% (342)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
45.3% (985)
+2.7%
On power play, Helm has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Helm
Smith
Home
51.8% (1,800)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Helm
Smith
P1
49.5%
49.9%
P2
52.8%
50.0%
P3
49.7%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Zack Smith |