Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Boyce wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Backes 50.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyce 73.9%
Defensive zone
Boyce 74.7%
Neutral zone
Boyce 72.9%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Boyce
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Boyce
Backes
Last 10: Boyce 1-9 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
1
Boyce
Backes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Boyce
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
7
Boyce
Backes
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
51.1% (5,772)
-3.3%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
50.8% (1,082)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
47.4% (930)
-2.6%
On power play, Backes has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Boyce shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Boyce
Backes
Home
52.2% (322)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
43.0% (298)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Boyce
Backes
P1
49.8%
50.1%
P2
48.6%
51.5%
P3
44.6%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |