Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyce wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Arnott 50.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 52.3%
Defensive zone
Boyce 78.0%
Neutral zone
Boyce 60.9%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Boyce
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Boyce
Arnott
Last 10: Boyce 3-7 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
5
Boyce
Arnott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
3
1
Boyce
Arnott
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
5
Boyce
Arnott
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
49.7% (1,444)
-1.9%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
53.8% (182)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
40.0% (15)
+4.8%
On power play, Arnott has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Boyce shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Boyce
Arnott
Home
52.2% (322)
52.1% (891)
Away
43.0% (298)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Boyce
Arnott
P1
49.8%
46.1%
P2
48.6%
53.6%
P3
44.6%
50.1%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 10, 2011 | OT | 01:40 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |