Scouting Report
Darryl Boyce holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyce on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Bailey 45.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 59.0%
Defensive zone
Boyce 77.7%
Neutral zone
Boyce 68.5%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Boyce
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Boyce
Bailey
Last 9: Boyce 8-1 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
4
0
Boyce
Bailey
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyce
4
1
Boyce
Bailey
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
45.8% (1,991)
+2.0%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
48.1% (295)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
39.9% (281)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Boyce has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Boyce is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Boyce shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Boyce
Bailey
Home
52.2% (322)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
43.0% (298)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Boyce
Bailey
P1
49.8%
46.5%
P2
48.6%
44.8%
P3
44.6%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |