Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyce wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 51.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 65.5%
Defensive zone
Boyce 77.3%
Neutral zone
Boyce 66.7%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Boyce
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Boyce
Stastny
Last 5: Boyce 1-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Boyce
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Boyce
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Boyce
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (137)
55.0% (1,136)
-3.9%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
57.5% (200)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
53.1% (64)
+1.9%
On power play, Stastny has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Boyce is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Boyce shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Boyce
Stastny
Home
54.2% (83)
58.5% (744)
Away
48.8% (80)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Boyce
Stastny
P1
55.0%
57.9%
P2
54.7%
54.9%
P3
44.0%
53.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |