Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 82.9%
Defensive zone
Boyce 83.7%
Neutral zone
Boyce 80.7%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Boyce
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Boyce
Stastny
Last 8: Boyce 1-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Boyce
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Boyce
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Boyce
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.8%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
59.1% (1,994)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
52.9% (1,119)
-8.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Boyce is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Boyce shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Boyce
Stastny
Home
52.2% (322)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
43.0% (298)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Boyce
Stastny
P1
49.8%
56.3%
P2
48.6%
55.4%
P3
44.6%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |