Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Boyce wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 51.0% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 54.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 68.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Boyce
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Boyce
O'Reilly
Last 6: Boyce 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyce
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
2
0
Boyce
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boyce
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (137)
52.5% (1,177)
-1.4%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
54.6% (130)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
52.8% (108)
+2.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Boyce is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Boyce shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
Home / Away
Boyce
O'Reilly
Home
54.2% (83)
54.9% (669)
Away
48.8% (80)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Boyce
O'Reilly
P1
55.0%
52.4%
P2
54.7%
56.1%
P3
44.0%
49.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |