Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyce on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.8%
Defensive zone
Boyce 51.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Boyce
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Boyce
O'Reilly
Last 8: Boyce 4-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyce
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
2
1
Boyce
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Boyce
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
56.2% (15,260)
-8.4%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
58.8% (3,445)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
51.4% (2,811)
-6.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Boyce is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Boyce shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Boyce
O'Reilly
Home
52.2% (322)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
43.0% (298)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Boyce
O'Reilly
P1
49.8%
55.6%
P2
48.6%
57.0%
P3
44.6%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |