Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.2%). Look for Connolly on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyce wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Connolly 47.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Connolly leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Boyce
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Boyce
Connolly
Last 10: Boyce 3-7 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
3
Boyce
Connolly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
2
Boyce
Connolly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
4
Boyce
Connolly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
47.4% (1,307)
+0.4%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
50.2% (251)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
41.9% (186)
+2.9%
On power play, Connolly has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Boyce shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Boyce
Connolly
Home
52.2% (322)
48.5% (870)
Away
43.0% (298)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Boyce
Connolly
P1
49.8%
47.4%
P2
48.6%
47.7%
P3
44.6%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |